Plus: Sky wine, DropGPT, co-founders getting along & why the fight’s off.
Hi there,
Still wondering if we should trust AI? Hackers at Def Con have just shown how easy it is to trick AI into saying 9 + 10 = 21, give tips on how to spy on others and just generally tell a whole bunch of lies with a smile.
Five years ago, making a TV ad required a bunch of agencies, professionals, kit and anywhere between 1 and 6 months to ship. And, apparently, production costs can range from just R20k to R2m, which seems a bit iffy – but it’s probably why you end up with such mixed results…
And then, you still had to pay for the TV spots…
Across SABC 1, 2 and 3, it’s just over R1m for 170 spots. Child’s play compared to the R97m for 30 seconds during the Superbowl and R22m at a FIFA World Cup (Rugby World Cup spots are R60m, if you’re keeping score), mainly because spots are limited. Putting TV-quality video ads out of most smaller businesses’ reach.
But, of course, ye olde internet is changing that fast…
Video ads right now
With SA spending about R3.3bn per year on video ads online (climbing by 6–10% annually, set to reach R4.1bn by 2027), digital is taking an ever-growing chunk out of our combined R7.9bn TV and online video spend.
And that’s stretching what production companies and agencies can do, because in the digital realm, space is a lot less limited and the competition is beyond fierce.
There’s simply no way you can take 6 months or even 3 – or even 1 month – to produce a video ad. We need it in 7 days, max.
And the traditional boys can’t keep up with that, which creates gaps for hustlers…
Local boys and girls doing it right
You might not know the team over at Freckle, but you’ve probably seen their work – King Price’s “Tractor” and “Lobola” spots, Tipo Tinto’s “Lick Her”, ads for the National Lottery and Vodacom, and even that LekkeSlaap (whom we spoke about recently)’s famous one with almost 10 million views.
Being very creative, focusing on hyperlocal and niche, and bringing the entire production process in-house seems to be paying off.
Now also imagine making good use of tech advances – iPhone camera quality’s through the roof these days, and mics are getting better and more accessible. There’s just so much you can do to create stuff that stocks faster, more effectively.
Another local startup is Vidr, which was years ahead of its time – crashing around with the concept of hyper-optimised and agile iPhone video ads long before 2019. Their time has probably come right now.
Taking it a step further
But recent advances in generative AI could take things to a whole new level. You might have seen how people are using Midjourney images animated via Runway Gen-2 to create cinematic trailers.
Well, the results can be quite spectacular…
Our question is, who’s looking into this same tech to create video ads? Because there could be huge opportunities:
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🍷 Sky Wine. Construction on the Cape Winelands Airport is pretty much done. Acquired in 2021 and rebranded from the Fisantekraal Airfield, this 150-ha site has been used for film productions and private aviation transport but the big vision is to transform it into a full-service hub capable of handling passenger flights as well as non-scheduled flights by private plane owners.
☀️ Sunny Money. Standard Bank is set to finance as much as R300 billion in sustainability and renewable projects by 2026 in South Africa, Namibia, Kenya, and Nigeria. The bank says they saw demand increase substantially in the wake of government lifting the cap on private electricity generation projects at the start of 2023.
💵 2 Billy. Founders Factory Africa just raised over R2 billion from Mastercard and Johnson & Johnson to invest in African startups.
🍩 No Longer Works. After being valued at $47 billion at one point, the office rental startup WeWork is now facing potential bankruptcy. With over 600 locations in 33 countries, a drop in memberships and an excess supply of commercial real estate has threatened its liquidity and profitability, the news of which hammered its share price by 27%.
🔻 LessGPT. Looks like ChatGPT’s usage has dropped nearly 10% from May to June. It’s also showing a drop in website traffic and app downloads. Users have been complaining that the chatbot's responses have gotten worse (“lazier” and “dumber”) – something we’ve also been noticing in recent weeks here at The Open Letter. Could it be that the novelty has started wearing off?
🐣 Chickened Out. In case you missed it on Threads (LOL), Zuck has said it’s “time to move on” from the cage match against Musk after Elon apparently failed to agree on a date. Surely we can find a car park somewhere in Silicon Valley and someone can livestream the thing on their iPhone?
Navigating the startup world as co-founders is like a voyage of exploration. The initial excitement of your groundbreaking idea’s what sets you off. But the success of the journey – full of highs, lows, challenges, and rewards – depends heavily on your relationship and the ground rules.
When you pick a co-founder, chances are you gonna be stuck together for some time (unless it fails fast, of course).
But as you succeed, you need a solid working relationship. Here are some actionable steps to ensure your co-founder relationship is robust, resilient, and ready for whatever comes your way.
Got some pics of you and your co-founder when you just started? Hit reply so we can share it all cutesy on the socials…
Well, don’t we like our bread buttered at both ends? Speaking of better workspaces last week, 49% of us want to work both at home and in-office — we agree (although The Open Letter doesn’t have an office 👀).
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏭 Sleep at my desk, Elon Twitter-style (7%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🚉 9-to-5 with a decent commute, thank you very much (9%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 💼 A few days in-office, the rest at home (49%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏡 My home office is the best in the world (30%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 💻 Hotel rooms, trains and coffee shops for me, please (4.5%)
Find more awesome business ideas from South Africa's favourite startup and tech newsletter.
Plus: World’s slowest 100m, SA’s $50M Series B injection & why woman engineers make great founders + (a special gift inside).
Hi there,
A world record for the slowest 100m ever? Somalia had to apologise when it sent an untrained candidate to participate in University Athletic Games. Clocking in at over 20 seconds at the 100m event, this might be the slowest one in history. We haven’t run in years but pretty sure we can beat that.
Do you ever wonder how work even began?
Picture this: ages ago, people probably realised, "Hey, we need more hands during harvest time!" And so, people pitched in and got a share of the crops. Zoom ahead to the middle ages, and people are farming, building stuff, and guarding towns.
Back then, jobs were super physical. So, usually, the guys did the heavy lifting while the ladies stayed home, managing everything and taking care of the kiddos.
But guess what? Times have changed big time! Work today? A whole lot easier on the back. Plus, thanks to modern family planning, ladies are smashing it in the workplace and business world like never before.
We really need to catch up…
Work: Still Stuck in the Man Cave?
Even though the nature of jobs has changed, the workplace itself? Not so much. It’s like we swapped out the old TV but are still using a VCR. So, while more women can now join the formal workforce, the formal work environment is mostly not a good fit.
And it shows in the numbers, 90% of informal work (typically work not governed by an employment agreement or formal business setup) in Africa is performed by women.
And oh boy, the classic 9–5 office grind? It's tough. Think about it: commute, work, commute. Barely any time at home. And perhaps that’s why 47% of women in SA are out of the workforce.
But this is all changing. Post-Covid we’ve seen a cool work mix – some days at the office, some at home. Major win? Moms get the best of both worlds! Just saving time on the commute alone is buying valuable family time.
What’s more, the rise of online gigs and remote jobs is rewriting the rules of work. And considering it's Women's Month in SA (shoutout to the incredible 20,000 women who stood up against unfair laws in 1959), it's time to dream of a workplace that's all about inclusivity and flexibility. One that works for more people.
Local Game-Changers
Ever heard of RecruitMyMom? It’s not your average job site. For years they have been a matchmaker for moms, connecting them with flexible jobs that fit their desire to spend more time with the family or other activities.
Think about a woman who spent the first 10 years of her career as a consultant for a top-tier consulting firm, or a woman with 15 years of auditing experience for a leading audit firm! These are the kind of candidates on RecruitMyMom that can be hired for a few hours a day. That experience is worth a lot and many companies only need it (and can afford it) for a few hours a day – a perfect match.
And businesses are loving it, feeling they get more bang for their buck. Highly focused, professional, and experienced women contributing positively.
And then there’s WomHub (check out our podcast guest Victoria Jackson from WomHub), championing the cause for mom entrepreneurs, especially in the STEM world.
Bottom line? The workplace isn't just about adding more chairs. It's about reshaping the entire table. Let's get flexible! After all, not even all men are the same and these changes could greatly benefit everyone involved, leading to healthier families and more fulfilled adults…progress.
Come across a female founder changing the game? Hit reply and let us know.
Keen to capitalise on this trend? Here is our top pick idea to make the most of this trend
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🪨 Janky Internet. Wondering why your favourite show is buffering or work video calls seem to be shaky? Turns out some undersea cables in the West African Cable System (WACS) and the South Atlantic 3 (SAT–3) systems have been damaged by a rock fall in the Congo Canyon.
👨🔬 Check your science. A prominent scientific journal is set to retract a paper containing controversial claims about the discovery of room-temperature superconductors due to ”possible data fabrication”. It’s also not the first paper by this specific physicist that’s been retracted.
💩 Causing a Stink. The long-time issues in Cape Town’s most polluted waterway – the Milnerton Lagoon – are set to see a Multibillion-Rand intervention by the City of Cape Town, including aerating and or bio-remediating the lagoon, upgrading the non-compliant discharges from the Potsdam Wastewater Treatment Works, as well as cutting off other pollution sources.
👌 More than OK. The Shoprite group’s franchise offering, OK, has just launched OK Urban with a bold new look hinting at taking on Woolworths, continuing the relentless onslaught by Checkers. All of it is cashless tap and go (which makes sense considering 80% of you prefer to tap to pay as voted in Tuesday’s Open Letter poll).
🍔 Good News Burger. In the latest update to The Economist’s Big Mac Index the Rand undervalued by 50% and should be trading at just under R9 per dollar. The index compares the price of a Big Mac burger in different countries to determine how currencies are valued. A Big Mac costs R49.90 in South Africa and $5.58 in the US.
🔪 Sharp Investments. Knife Capital raises a $50m fund to address the funding gap in critical growth stages of startups in the Series B stage. The fund is currently invested in startups like DataProphet and Kasha and plans to invest in another 10-12 firms primarily in the South African ecosystem.
3 Women-First Founder Thoughts to Share
If you’re still hunting for new ideas, you probably haven’t seen this week’s How Would You Build It yet. No worries, you can still catch our chat with Victoria Jackson of WomHub – which has grown to so much more than just co-working, btw. They’re doing all kinds of amazing stuff: from igniting STEM passion in young women to female founder journeys, accelerators and funding support.
Our fave highlights
1️⃣ Female STEM Engineers Make Great Founders
In fact, it seems to be part of a natural journey/progression: Get STEM-educated, graduate, work in engineering, and then a lot of women naturally end up choosing to go the entrepreneurial route.
And WomHub focuses very much on helping founders in engineering, mining, green technology, software and tech through incubation and accelerator programmes specifically catered to women – see more here.
2️⃣ Women May Have a Different View of Sucess
And therein lies many opportunities. As Victoria mentions here, women might not have the unicorn-level goals of building that IPO in lieu of building a stable, sustainable family business. Not always, though, but often enough that there might be opportunities in helping more women unlock just that – how do we help fund that, how do we connect people there to realise value?
Another point that goes back to our main feature is that you do often find women in extremely high-profile positions, with decades of valuable domain skills, who exit the workplace to build a family. And then you have companies in need of that level of skill, who can’t afford to acquire it full-time, but would pay handsomely for just an hour or two a week of her insights.
Figure out a way to bring more of those two together, and you could have a very neat solution.
3️⃣ Unlocking Opportunities in the Circular Economy
It’s often hard to see how you actually make money out of reuse and upcycling etc. but Victoria points out here that there could be unique opportunities in building products or vehicles for the ESG space that can help smaller green companies get access to voluntary carbon credits because there’s a lot of good work happening there that’s maybe not getting the support it deserves.
Another worthy thought is that as Economic Social Governance marches on, there might come a tipping point of adoption. And if you were to start developing a software solution now to help those hard industries who are currently building in the space, you could benefit when that opportunity unlocks – more on that here.
BONUS: There will be way more unique women founder insights like these in two weeks’ time at Innovation City’s Digital Divas Summit. In fact, Victoria will be there, along with an amazing line-up of female founders and founder supporters.
Oh, and we organised for you to get R500 off your ticket down below…
If podcast app is your vibe, catch them here:
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R500 Off Your Ticket to Digital Divas Summit
We have a confession to make. We didn’t just incidentally have Victoria on the podcast – we chased that interview because we knew she’s leading a panel at an upcoming Innovation City event on 25 August.
It’s around female founders’ experiences through the years and decades (following the evolution of the movement), which includes the likes of Loop CEO and algorithm creator Kimberley Taylor, Zindi Africa’s Celina Lee, Endeavour South Africa MD Alison Collier and legendary female founder and IDF Capital chairperson Polo Leteka.
And that’s just the warm-up act to a masterclass on negotiation by venture capitalist and Knife Capital partner, Andrea Böhmert. Which then leads to the keynote by international journalist and The Female Quotient founder, Shelley Zalis.
It’s such a cool opportunity, we stalked, begged and bothered Innovation City endlessly until they agreed to give The Open Letter readers R500 off tickets to the Digital Divas Summit on 25 August in Cape Town.
So there you go. If you want in, or if you know a female founder (or soon-to-be), all you have to do is use the code YFP74EE8 when you checkout here.
Wow, we just kinda proved the main stat from our last letter on digital payments. 40% of us use tap-and-go and 39% Apple Pay/Google Pay – that’s a cool 80% for the future of payments. (Poor PayShap needs some love, though.)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 💰 Cash (2%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ Chequebook (2%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 💸 Tap-and-go with card (41%)
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨 📱 Apple Pay, Google Pay or Samsung Pay (39%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 💳 Chip and Pin (6%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ ⚡ SnapScan or Zapper (4%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 👍 PayShap (0)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 😎 Crypto (6%)
Find more awesome business ideas from South Africa's favourite startup and tech newsletter.
Plus: Space funerals, poor CEOs, Worldcoin chaos & cost-effective bootstrapping.
Hi there,
Who’s a good boy? This Japanese man, apparently, after he spent R375k to transform himself into a dog. Because woof.
One major positive from Covid lockdowns was how fast SA adopted tap-to-pay technology. Mastercard now reckons 75% of card-using South Africans use it as their primary means of payment.
And it’s now even easier with Apple Pay, Google Pay, Samsung Pay etc. active in SA – seriously, I haven’t seen my wallet in weeks. Apple Pay already overtook Starbucks as the US’s #1 mobile payment solution back in 2019 and currently has an estimated 535 million users worldwide.
But it’s not just in retail, banking’s getting face paint too.
In fact, 60% of South Africans believe that in 5 years’ time, banks will have no need for physical branches as 73% prefer their mobile banking app for day-to-day banking.
Our phones are becoming our wallets
PayShap, the new South African rapid payment technology we told you about in March, allows instant interbank transfers for low fees. And they recently claimed to have handled 800k transactions at a total value of R660 million already.
(Interesting to note: PayShap was meant for microtransactions, yet their average transaction value is ± R 825, hinting that their initial poor user experience and confusing fees hampered adoption.)
Nonetheless, Payshap claims over 300k South Africans have registered PayShap IDs (the unique identifier you need to transact) so far, and expects higher adoption as more banks join. And with Capitec announcing its PayShap fees – Free under R100, R3 up to R3000 – this might just have a crack at taking cash out of the game.
The potential is massive. Rapid payment technology can reduce the amount of cash in society, which is already scaling elsewhere in the world:
A new era of payments
With tap-to-pay becoming more acceptable on the consumer side, it unlocks major benefits and potential opportunities. Where, a few years ago, companies like Yoco gained a market-leading position by simply offering a cheap device, the next frontier probably lies in creating new in-store experiences.
Instead of having a “till point” in a store, sales reps can walk around with handheld point of sales that are NFC-enabled and can thus accept tap-to-pay. This does a few things:
For FMCG retail, this also means faster checkouts which could optimise staff costs and increase customer satisfaction.
As far as using a mobile device for banking goes, technology like PayShap, when executed well, with a good user experience, could do wonders for financial inclusion.
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🥊 3. 2. 1. Fight. Arguably the fight of the century (perhaps not if you’re a combat sports purist) Musk vs Zuck is happening. Elon has said the fight will be live-streamed on X (fka Twitter) – with proceeds going to charity. I mean, marketing stunt of the decade to get more eyes on your platform…
⚰️ Space Funeral. Seems like the medical teams at NASA are already figuring out what to do with one of the Astronauts should they die on the 300-million-mile mission to Mars. Low orbit and moon missions seem pretty much sorted, but what to do with a body should they die on the way to, or on Mars?
🪙 Kenya believe it? Remember when we said how Worldcoin could be a foundation layer for UBI? Well, it rolled out recently in Kenya and between the “security concerns” around the queues lasting days and data privacy & security, so much chaos ensued they shut it down.
🇳🇦 Crypto Law. Neighbours Namibia signed a bill into law that recognises virtual assets including cryptocurrencies — meaning all crypto operators would have to comply with new regulation or face fines or imprisonment. Funny enough, despite the new legislation, Namibia’s central bank is still warning that virtual assets are not legal tender and citizens should transact at their own risk.
🧐 Poor CEOs. The 1% are suffering too, people. A new study has shown that the average pay of an S&P500 CEO has dropped to only R300 million a year compared to the year before. Yeah, looks like everybody is tightening their belts in this economy.
It’s a running joke how scarce early-stage startup funding is in SA. Seriously. We’re even lagging behind other African countries here. So whaddya gonna do?
Play the cards you’re dealt, of course. Bootstrapping is an art form, a way to get going and grow without outside capital. (In fact, we’re bootstrapping The Open Letter!) And, when you’re bootstrapping, nothing is more important than capital efficiency.
So, how do you make the little money you have go as far as possible?
5 ways to stay capital efficient
Got some stellar workarounds for doing more with less? Hit reply and let us know…
Ok, now we’re curious. We gave you a list of top soccer, rugby and Premier football teams and asked which are your faves last week. And like a quarter said none of those, thank you very much…
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🌞 Sundowns (12%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🪓 Chiefs (4%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏴☠️ Pirates (8%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🐂 Bulls (8%)
🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ ⚡ Stormers (16%)
🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ 🔴 Liverpool (16%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏟 Manchester United (12%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🤷 None of the above (24%)
Find more awesome business ideas from South Africa's favourite startup and tech newsletter.
Plus: Launching a new VC, Mr Beast gets spicy SA’s big tech crackdown & building nice local streaming products.
Hi there,
We’re spicing things up by moving our Thursday newsletter to Fridays – you likey? Speaking of spice, Mr Beast is suing his own burger company and Uber’s CEO has no idea what a trip costs. World’s gone mad.
With or without the Messi…
Sport’s big business. And, despite what we’re told, it’s nowhere near fully capitalised on yet. Seriously, just when you thought it’s all cornered you see something new…
Like when the EU’s Argentinian golden boy moves to America. Sure it makes for great headlines – Lionel Messi moves to David Beckham’s Major League team, Inter Miami, scores two goals in his first match, drawing amazing crowds that include the likes of LeBron, Serena Williams, DJ Khaled and Kim you-know-who.
Even before Messi touched a ball, the marketing and media storm around this was just staggering…
Kind of makes you want to ask why? What’s in this for Messi? Sure Inter Miami and American Soccer in general all benefit hugely from his presence. Think increased kit sales (you all want that Messi jersey, right?) and Apple TV deals. But why does Messi need them?
Obviously, there’s the pay – his $150 million, 2.5-year deal is a slight increase from his old $41m annual at PSG. But that’s not where the big money is. Since his singing, ticket prices have increased by 500%, with some resellers saying they’re selling 28 times more Inter Miami tickets since July.
The big thing is, Messi owns equity in Inter Miami.
And it’s valued at $600m today, but they look pretty much on track to double in the year to come.
The big idea: There’s still so much to leverage in sport
Owning a sports team is more than a status symbol or nice tax write-off. It’s big business, with a whole lot of big brands and egos involved that move slowly and probably miss way more opportunities than they create. The question is, are there opportunities for savvy startups and smaller players to capitalise on?
Sports teams have the following value:
And all of these can be leveraged to varying degrees to unlock revenue.
It’s happening locally already
South Africans are football mad. The Soweto Derby draws over 90’000 fans. And tickets to a Kaizer Chiefs’ 94’000-seat stadium go for around R100 each – that’s a cool R9m per match day. Not to mention the 6.5 million who tune in via radio and TV – more sponsorship opportunities.
So big money, yes, but things aren’t always what they seem…
Let’s stick with our Kaizer Chiefs example. Arguably SA’s most famous football club (who else got a random English indie rock band named after them?) and, with 40m fans worldwide, definitely the most supported club in Southern Africa.
But, funny enough, Chiefs is only worth R283 million, roughly half the value of Mamelodi Sundowns’ R544m. So even there is a case for refining and better capitalising on opportunities.
TEAM:
WORTH:
OWNER:
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
R544 million
Patrice Motsepe
Orlando Pirates
R371 million
Irvin Khoza
Kaizer Chiefs
R283 million
Kaizer Motaung
Cape Town City FC
R212 million
Michel & John Comitis
Sekhukhune United FC
R208 million
Simon Malatji
Supersport United
R196 million
Khulu Sibiya
AmaZulu FC
R191 million
Sandile Zungu
Golden Arrows
R164 million
Mato Madlala
Stellenbosch FC
R160 million
Johann Rupert
Royal AM FC
R134 million
Shauwn Mkhize
Source: Daily Investor, Wikipedia, club websites.
The local plays
These sports teams and this industry offer an array of opportunities and some less obvious than others.
🎟️ Getting value from the audience: With fanatical supporters, the opportunity is huge to offer ancillary products (backed by existing corporates) leveraging the power of the club’s brand. Examples like Kaizer Chiefs Funeral Cover with Hollard, SIM cards/Mobile offerings with Vodacom, the club magazine, Amakhosi etc. and their counterparts at some of the other big clubs are all great plays.
It’s worth noting that some of these products come and go, suggesting there’s room to really refine and capitalise on this massive opportunity.
🤸♂️ Helping the players perform: In professional sports, the difference between winning and losing often comes down to margins. Dr Sherrylle Calder is world-renowned for helping Ernie Els putt better and the likes of Bryan Habana and F1 driver Valtteri Bottas react faster. She put her science into an online platform called EyeGym, and now it's used by sports teams across the world to improve player performance.
Imagine collab-ing with a domain expert to zero in on a niche – physical performance, the mental game or even teamwork and co-op – and packaging that to teams, clubs and eventually even the amateur market.
📻️ Team communication and organisation: Former Springboks Seven’s coach, Paul Treu, is behind the startup Phaseplay. A solution to help sports teams better communicate and organise. Pitch up for training on time, report an injury or niggle, see your training program and chat with the team – say goodbye to disorganised Whatsapp groups!
Moral of the story: Help the team perform better or capitalise on that captive audience, and you might have a proper business on your hands.
Come across a cool SportTech startup? Hit reply and let us know… we are watching this space.
Keen to capitalise on this trend? Here is our top pick idea to make the most of this trend
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☀️ Going Solar. Not satisfied with just investing in Sundowns, local billionaire Patrice Motsepe is also investing in sunrises as his investment company African Rainbow Capital (ARC) acquired a minority stake in solar energy company GoSolr.
🐝 Busy Bee. The Competition Commission has been busy these last couple weeks handing down judgements on Apple’s App Store and Google’s Play Store, travel platform Booking.com, online property classified platforms Private Property and Property24, eCommerce leader Takealot, aaaaand UberEats and Mr D (Mr Delivery).
🤑 PropTech Investment. Looks like somebody reads the Open Letter. Back in Jan we wrote about PropTech 2.0. Recently a R200 million VC fund was launched by REdimension Capital to invest in early-stage, innovative PropTech companies that improve how property is developed, managed and engaged with.
🤓 Subtitle Glasses. An Augmented Reality (AR) startup is changing the game for deaf people with their device, TranscribeGlass, which shows subtitles in real-time. The device attaches to a regular pair of glasses and transcribes what it hears onto the wearer's right-hand lens.
🪪 Noah guy? Dreading the queues to renew your driver’s licence? Well, good news might be just down the road. Pending cabinet approval, the validity of SA driver’s licenses could be extended to 8 years. This due in part to the single machine meant to print 120’000 driver’s licence cards per week constantly breaking. So, if you know someone in the cabinet…
If your week’s feeling a bit empty it’s probably because you haven’t watched the latest episode of How Would You Build it yet. No, seriously, we got serial builder Catherine Lückhoff from 20fifty talking about everything from localised music streaming to the existentialism of AI. So do yourself a favour and check this out…
Our fave highlights
There’s also some killer advice for non-technical founders and some predictions on what’s next for AI.
Building something in music, content, blockchain or AI? Hit reply so we can share…
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Well, whaddya know… We asked earlier this week what you think the future of farming is. And 53% of us want to “bring the farm into the city” and literally no one wants an AI to make any decisions on their little patch of heaven.
🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🚁 Spraying drones. (20%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🌾 Robot harvesters (Edward Scissorhands style). (7%) ⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🤖 AI for decision making. (0%)
🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🛰️ Drought-control satellites. (20%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🏙️ Bringing the farm into the city (53%)
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Hi there,
Battling to convert? This Chinese zoo is having all its days convincing visitors its bears are not just people in bear suits.
One of the very first SA apps to hit the app store over 10 years ago, was none other than the Landbouweekblad. (We don’t have a link to prove it, but we helped build it, so you can take our word for it).
Back then, savvy 40–50-year-old farmers bought iPads hoping to use them to revolutionise their businesses. Sadly, the tech wasn’t there to build the digital farm just yet…
But fast forward 13 years, and the landscape’s changed significantly. Connected devices and sensors (IoT), connectivity, big data and AI, and drones have all come of age and are starting to play a role in agriculture.
The ageing farmer and his tech-savvy son
In last week’s How Would You Build It, Zamokuhle Thwala dropped a stat that triggered a thought: The average age of a farmer in South Africa is 62, which puts them close to retiring.
And that means there is likely a younger generation poised to take over. This younger generation is likely 30-ish and grew up with tech — it’s second nature for them.
With improved tech, a growing market and a younger farmer that adopts the technology it’s creating a perfect storm of opportunity. So we ask: Is it time for AgriTech to shine?
The Opportunity
To put SA agriculture in perspective, with a forecast amount of R282 billion contributed to the GDP in 2023, it's bigger than the construction industry and only slightly smaller than mining. In terms of SA’s economic activity, it's a big deal.
And what’s more, it's set to grow at 7.6% per year to 2028, so there’s space for even more.
Finally, considering that the majority of agriculture production in SA is exported (a whopping $12.8 billion), it's well positioned should the rand face further deterioration – Europeans have no problems paying R20 a naartjie, it seems.
And where there is a growing industry, it's often the input providers, particularly those in tech, that excite us the most – they just scale so nicely.
Pouncing on the opportunity
There are quite a few local players that are pouncing on this opportunity, focussing on some of the most pressing farm matters:
Worker Management and Payments: Labour is one of the biggest costs on a farm, and with its seasonality and scale, becomes a complex process to manage. Using smart devices, NFC technology and connectivity, workers can be optimised and paid with little hassle. This is something that Agrigistics is tackling.
Regulation and Reporting: Farming is not without regulation, especially when it comes to preventing pests from devouring your produce. Reporting pest sightings and spraying of preventative substances needs to be recorded and reported on – something that KeyPhase offers farmers.
Sizing and Planning: Selling your products before they are ready can provide vital cash flow for farming operations. But how do you ensure you get the best price? Understanding what kind of produce you can expect and negotiating better deals and planning logistics becomes a breeze. This is something Stellenbosch-based startup Revolute Systems is tackling. This is also something that Naspers-backed startup Aerobotics is offering farmers – albeit with a focus on providing insurers with data to reduce the risk and cost of crop insurance.
Modern Farming: Farming aint what it used to be, and one of the popular ways to optimise output is through covered farming. AgriLogiq provides undercover-farm management hardware and systems to control airflow and manage the temperature within covered farming areas.
As these solutions become more mainstream, even more opportunities to connect devices will arise and with more devices, more data and with more data, more intelligence. The future of farming is here and we are watching this space.
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🚐 Blast from the past. The iconic Toyota Hiace minibus (nicknamed Zola Budd) was one of the OG’s in South African passenger transport. You can get your hands on an immaculate 1988 model with barely 80’000 kms on the clock. This piece of historical local nostalgia comes complete with full service history, spare key and Pioneer head unit (CD player, playa).
✖️ Superhero signal. In the latest episode of “What Elon Did Next”, the X (fka Twitter) big dog has had a massive flashing X installed on the rooftop of the X HQ – much to the annoyance of his neighbours. We always thought Musk was closer to Iron Man but with this bat-signal-esque X, looks like he’s more like Batman.
🚧 Gatekeeper AI. As AI’s capabilities keep on growing, researchers at MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory (CSAIL) have built “PhotoGuard” a technique that adds perturbations (tiny alterations in pixel values) to disrupt the model’s ability to manipulate an image.
⛽ On the rise. Don't forget to chuck in some fuel tonight. Unleaded petrol is to increase by 37c per litre while diesel will set you back 72c per litre. Analysts predict this trend will continue as Saudi Arabia continues to cut its oil production and demand from China and India increased.
🥵 Hot stuff. We might be cold, but scientists have said that July 2023 will go down, not only, as the hottest month on record since 1940 (when we started tracking these sorts of things) but possibly the hottest in 120’000 years. The UN Secretary-General António Guterres has warned that “the era of global warming has ended” and “the era of global boiling has arrived.”
OK, you’ve got product, a plan and you’re ready to roll. But how do you get the high-performance marketing you know it takes to build something special?
NO, you can’t hire a marketer and hope they’ll just “sort it out for you”...
And NO, you can’t just focus on adding features and hope customers will just magically appear…
We’re going to give it to you straight: You, the founder, are the only person who can establish your marketing and sales framework. Agencies and marketers can only perfect the basic groundwork you’ve already laid, not the other way around.
Establish your sales and marketing like so (in this exact order)...
5 Steps for the startup marketing win
Got a marketing question? Hit reply and fire away, it’s what we do…
Last week, we asked for your predictions on the future of commerce in townships. And using spaza shops are distribution centres is the clear winner, with corporate malls and solopreneurs sharing the second spot.
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🛵 Deliver goods with e-commerce-like solutions. (8%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 📦 Spaza shops as distribution centres. (46%)
🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏬 Large corporates to establish malls etc. (19%)
🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 💼 Service-driven solopreneurs. (19%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🛸 Drones and robots, baby. (8%)
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Hi there,
Like seeing TV heroes cry? Amidst the ongoing Hollywood actors and writers strikes (against AI), Netflix just put out a job offer for a new AI product manager that pays R15.8M per year – while most actors get only R3’500 per day.
Not everyone can just pop to the shop…
One of the biggest consequences of apartheid was relocating people out of areas of economic activity into townships. (The numbers are hard to come by, but at least 12 million people are known to live in just SA’s 76 largest townships. The true figure is probably way higher.)
You might remember how, a few weeks ago, we covered how the minibus taxi industry was born out of this act. And how 15 million people’s daily transport is affected by the ongoing SA taxi crisis. Well, that’s getting from home (townships) to work (affluent neighbourhoods, cities and town centres).
But what about when they need to make the same trip for something as simple as collecting medicine or buying groceries?
The price of kasi commerce
Now, most of us don’t even consider the price of travelling to a store, since it’s so close by. But for millions of South Africans, it could cost an extra R35 to R55 plus just to be in a position to pick up meds or supplies. And it might take hours – sometimes you have to write off the whole day.
And it’s not only consumers. Rural business owners need to drive and expend quite a bit just to replenish their stock – and it might also cost them an entire day of business.
Save these people that R40 (or part thereof) and some time, and you might be in business.
But it’s not that simple
Deliveries and fulfilment in these underserved areas are complex and operators in this space typically face plenty of challenges, including:
Some of the pioneers
Iyeza Health is one of the earliest pioneers in this space, starting back in 2013 in the Gugulethu area near Cape Town. Many township residents have to make a monthly trip to the clinic to fill prescriptions for managing, amongst others, diabetes or HIV. Iyeza started delivering these meds via bicycle, saving people time and money in the process.
Thumela is the second startup founded by AgriKool founder, Zamokuhle Thwala, our podcast guest this week. They are tackling longer-distance logistics. Think: sending a parcel from Pietermaritzburg to Durban. They go from taxi rank to taxi rank, empowering several side-hustling WhatsApp entrepreneurs to deliver their goods cheaper and faster.
Order Kasi started out as the Uber Eats for townships but struggled with scale – as we said before, even at Uber Eats’ scale, it's hard to make money with this model. So in a similar vein to Mr D Food (Mr Delivery), they pivoted to focus on last-mile deliveries.
YeboFresh raised R78 million recently and is distributing to local spaza shops in townships. Shop thousands of products at competitive prices via the online store or WhatsApp. Your order is fulfilled within 24 hours to over 40 townships across Jozi and Cape Town – neat.
Zoning in on that R40 there and back, and the massive amount of time it takes, there are countless opportunities in this space. And considering the size of the market, it's understandable why there is already a lot of action.
Keen to capitalise on this trend? Here is our top pick idea to make the most of this trend
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🤑 Secret Millionaires. Some of us could be millionaires and we don't even know it. Supermarket giant Pick n Pay says there are about 250 million Rands worth of Smart Shopper loyalty points floating about unclaimed due to some 111 million shoppers not having registered their Smart Shopper cards. Better dust off those loyalty cards and see if you’re one of them.
🌊 The Tide is High. Laurika Rauch wasn't joking when she said: “Kom ons draf LANGS die strand” in her 1988 hit “Blouberg se Strand”. By 2100 you could be running on Doodles’ Deck as Bloubergstrand is set to lose over 100 metres of shoreline due to rising sea levels making this world-famous beach the 9th-most at-risk beach in Africa.
⚰️ Killing the bird. On Tuesday we shared how Elon Musk changed Twitter’s name and logo to X. Some pundits are saying the move wiped out significant brand value that took over 15 years to build with the amount thrown around anywhere between $4 billion and $20 billion. Not much of an impact given that Twitter has apparently “lost a huge amount of value” since Musk took over.
🏆 Record Breaking. Not only is South Africa already experiencing record-level days of loadshedding, but it’s also on track to reach record-breaking service delivery protests. So far in 2023, there have been 122 protests over failure to provide (ja, you guessed it) electricity and water and it looks likely to break the 2018 record: 237 protests.
⚓ Getting our ship together. Transnet has selected three consortiums to present proposals to build the Boegoebaai port all the way up the West Coast of South Africa. The port will be used to ship green hydrogen and other hydrogen derivatives, as well as manganese. Nice one.
So, last time, we shared cool tools for building your MVP itself. But, arguably the most important part of an MVP is not the product but effectively testing and gathering feedback.
See, when you put an MVP out there, you’re taking the Lean Approach, which says you’re actually only releasing in order to:
All so that you can iterate and slowly build up towards your final product.
That means you’re really looking at feedback, analytics, marketing and launch testing. Like so…
Add these peripheral tools to your MVP
Need more tools? Remember, if you share The Open Letter with friends, you get our 50 Founder’s Tools list and our 25 AI Tools for Startups list, too.
Want more lists or free how-to docs to download? Hit reply and let us know what you’re after…
Is Agritech the new FinTech for millennials? According to our latest guest, Zamokuhle Thwala from AgriKool, there are massive opportunities available for young farmers in South Africa.
Enjoy this fascinating conversation with a rising star in the South African startup scene. And don’t forget to like and subscribe so you don’t miss an episode.
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Earlier this week, we asked if your degree is worth the paper it’s printed on. And we’re tied between a yes because it instils work ethic and a no because it was just a party. So there you go.
🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️ 🤓 Yes learnt a lot and have used it at work. (23%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 💼 Yes it’s an important part of developing work ethic. (27%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🥳 No but it was worth it for the party. (27%)
🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ 🏎️ No I’m doing something different to what I studied. (19%)
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ ⏳ No it’s a waste of time. (4%)
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Hi there,
Dolls or nukes? Whether you have Barbenheimer fever (Warner Bros’s Barbie and Universal Pictures’ Oppenheimer launched the same day this weekend) or not, this outrageous viral AI-created Barbeheimer movie mashup trailer’s quite impressive – considering it took only 4 days to make.
Not all qualifications are equally valuable. That’s what drove the UK government last week to force “rip-off” degrees with high drop-out rates and poor employment prospects to drop fees by 37% from £9’250 (R220k) to £5’760 (R137k) per year.
Why? The UK's higher education regulator, The Office for Students, says that some 30% of students aren't getting skilled jobs, 15 months after graduating. In fact, says respected think-tank, The Institute for Fiscal Studies, 1 in 50 graduates might have been financially better off if they'd skipped university altogether.
All is not well back home
University education in South Africa is comparatively less expensive than in the UK, but with a starting tuition average of around R55,900 per year, adding textbook costs, accommodation, and living expenses, you're suddenly in for over R100’000 a year.
Now, the National Student Financial Aid System NSFAS helps support about 700’000 students. But that’s only 64% of the 1 mil SA students that enrol per annum – and with the average SA salary at just R300’000 a year, heaven knows where hero parents source that extra R100k per child.
(And maybe that’s why only 6% of Saffas have a bachelor’s degree – much lower than countries with similar GDPs.)
What’s more, at that price, the education had better be super high quality. And we’re not sure it is, because recent data shows that graduate unemployment is worse than it was a decade ago.
So, what are our universities doing? Well, it all lies in how they’re funded…
How SA Universities stay afloat
To remain viable, universities are essentially juggling three main objectives:
That forces our Unis to invest way more into government compliance and real estate management than actual education – let alone measuring the actual impact of the courses they offer. There are, after all, few real consequences for failing to deliver on student outcomes. (But with 50-60% of first-year students dropping out, that’s a lot of wasted money.)
All of this calls into question whether we put enough care into ensuring we provide a good enough education to actually benefit the country/economy. Just like in the UK.
Education that actually delivers
Interestingly, the grants-based funding model created a niche for private education institutions – catering to those who can afford tuition but don't meet the quota needs (that secure public grants).
Private schools jumped into this space, aligning their course offerings much more closely with student outcomes. And, over time, they’re likely to enhance their reputation and attract even higher-quality students.
Take, for instance, Stadio, a publicly listed entity with tuition fees on par with public universities. With a student body of roughly 40k, it's larger than UFS but just smaller than UJ. They are growing at roughly 8% per year and the business is cash generative with R148m cash on hand end of last year. And with another contact-learning campus planned for Durbanville, growth is set to continue.
However, you don't need to be operating a Billion-Rand university group to find opportunities in the tertiary education space. For example:
The thing is, the UK is jumping in to address the situation. But locally, it might take some time. So there’s lots of money to be made for private players in this space.
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📈 Early retirement. Remember when we said it’s time we let robots do all the work? Well, it’s happening: Sam Altman’s global currency-enabling Worldcoin launched yesterday.
✖️ X gon' give it to ya. Elon Musk has officially changed the name of Twitter to X – one step closer to his “Everything Super App”. And if you’re wondering what to call it or what to say you’re doing on the app, might we suggest taking a lesson from Xhosa-speaking South Africans and say you’re Xweeting…
🤒 Pulling a sickie. Everyone knows you shouldn’t lie about being sick to take time off from work. But what you REALLY shouldn’t do is send your boss a text saying you’re sick, take time off, attend (and be filmed at) an EFF march at a Clicks store and be seen by the same boss on TV and YouTube.
🍔 Chowing diesel. Famous Brands forked over R8.8 million for diesel to power their restaurants between March & June of this year. This after a massive 880% increase in diesel costs in Q1. But it’s not all bad news for the company that owns Steers, Wimpy, Mugg & Bean, and Debonairs. Between March and May, sales from their leading brands made up nearly a quarter of its revenue.
🤖 A bot for your droid. The long-awaited ChatGPT for Android is launching next week (the exact date is still TBC). This after OpenAI launched ChatGPT for iPhone & iPad in May. Users can preorder the app in Google’s Play Store to be installed once it’s available.
💰 Kasha investment. South African VC Firm Knife Capital led a $21m series B investment in female health-tech startup Kasha. With a unique focus on female menstrual and reproductive health, Kasha is set to use the funding to expand its offering beyond Rwanda, into, amongst others, South Africa.
So you have an idea, scope and a clear vision. Time for an MVP? The game is, as always, moving fast so you can gather feedback and stay ahead of the competition…
Remember, an MVP is not the final product. It’s meant to just be a fast way to get something of value in front of the right audience, so you can gather the feedback and data you need to iterate and build the real one.
We’ve said before it pays to build ugly and sometimes even build things that don’t scale, just so you can fine-tune value, user experience and run some rigorous, low-cost viability tests. So a few great tools can go a long way…
Consider these smart MVP tool options
Bonus: A super useful tool for building integrations and custom automation across all your tools, is Zapier. Want two separate tools to talk to each other? Just create a zap and presto! Check it out.
Know a hot new MVP tool? Hit reply and share so we can make it famous…
Last time, we asked you what your go-to holiday vibe is. And most of us in this community use Booking.com. Tied for second are LekkeSlaap and those of us who don’t even know what a “holiday” is. #startuplife
⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🛏️ Airbnb (4%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 🏠 Booking.com (32%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🇿🇦 LekkeSlaap (20%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏖️ My own beach house (16%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏕️ Tent/caravan (8%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🤷 What is this "holiday" thing you speak of? (20%)
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Hi there,
Thought it was over? Terminator director James Cameron just weighed in on the AI debate with a classic "I warned you guys in 1984”.
Cloud computing is one of the most enabling technologies of our time. And probably the most practical examples of how the shared economy can benefit an industry.
Pre-cloud computing, your web app needed its own server – pricey! And that server was almost never fully utilised. Enter cloud computing – share this piece of hardware among multiple users and charge them an operational fee instead of heavy capex.
Early pioneers of the web embraced and loved it. So it's no surprise the idea of sharing hardware or spaces spilt over into other areas.
The Uber of X
If you were involved in the startup scene 10 years ago, you would often meet a founder saying “My app is like Uber but for X”, where X refers to whatever industry they are targeting. Management consultants pounced claiming that the future is shared:
The problem with this is:
The shared economy dream is shattered, or is it?
The biggest challenge for these global shared economy players is scaling context per country or sometimes even city.
The problem with Uber is not the tech or the execution, it’s that every country and municipality has its own laws, by-laws, regulations etc. And when each major city in the world has custom rules for Uber and these constantly change, it becomes a nightmare to scale efficiently – especially with centralised global operations.
Perhaps the share economy works, just not the way we thought. Hyper-local could be a great solution.
Think LekkeSlaap (which means sleep well in Afrikaans) which offers a similar booking service to Airbnb, albeit a bit more focussed on actual BnBs, resorts and hotels – so somewhere between Airbnb and Booking.com. LekkeSlaap being local (SA only or for a targeted SA Afrikaans audience) has benefited them in the following ways:
And it’s not only Airbnb facing local competition. Lula (who we featured on our podcast not too long ago), is also offering private transport services to rival the likes of Uber.
Often entrepreneurs avoid starting up where there’s already a massive, highly funded global player. But here’s a good case-in-point for why you should do exactly that.
Here’s what we’re pretty sure of: when you launch an attack to capture a big international industry player’s market locally, they will likely not have the agility to counter it. At least not for the southernmost country in Africa.
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🍷 Fancy. 3 SA Vineyards have made it into the Top 50 of “World’s Best Vineyards 2023” list, including 1 in the Top 5. The list includes Creation Wines at number 4 (and Top Vineyard in Africa), Klein Constantia at number 32, and Delaire Graff Estate at 36. Benguela Cove and Tokara made the second half of the list at 53 and 94 respectively.
🛰️ Kenya believe it? Elon Musk’s Starlink now available in Kenya. The high-speed, low-latency broadband internet via a constellation of low-orbit satellites was just launched. Closer to home though, while Starlink doesn’t officially have a license to operate in SA, you can still access the services via third parties using its international roaming feature and it’s estimated that roughly 1700 people already do.
🏖️ Golden Years. SA (read: The Western Cape) is becoming a favourable retirement destination for foreigners from the UK, China, Germany, the USA, and Bangladesh. These countries make up more than half of the 3’645 retirement visa applications received by Home Affairs in the last 2 years.
😢 Feel the churn. Remember when we mused how people would slowly stop using Meta’s Twitter competitor Threads? It’s started. Threads users have dropped by half this past week.
💸 Breaking the Bank. Tesla’s Board of Directors have agreed to pay back a staggering R13.5 billion after shareholders claimed the Tesla board was massively overpaying themselves. Eina.
Ok, so your product has a few users, and now you’re ready to diversify and maybe serve a larger audience. But some of your personas and potential target markets are quite niche and hard to pin down – like CEOs, high-net-worth individuals, board members to voluntary organisations like home owner’s associations, parent-teacher organisations etc.
You know, people that would cost a fortune to try and reach with blanket advertising…
First off, you’re not supposed to be in this situation – that’s what your concept validation, discovery, scoping and go-to-market plan is for. But do not fret, there is actually a framework for it…
Questions for pinning down a niche audience
Bonus tip: Sometimes hiring some of their service providers (i.e. the freelancer that writes for them etc.) could give you goodwill with the service provider to do an intro. A word of caution, however, it’s not a guarantee.
Action plan: If you can’t find this information readily online, then approach a few of the niche people/organisations you can find in your area, and ask them those 5 questions. If you can speak to 5–10 people already within that niche target audience, you should get the info you need.
Then just repeat the process: align with others already serving them and boom, foot in the door.
Battling to infiltrate a hyper-niche market? Hit reply and let’s see if we can add some ideas…
Have we romanticised venture funding? In this week's episode of How Would You Build It, we spoke to Stephen Osler & Martin Potgieter from Nclose about how they bootstrapped their business to become one of the Financial Times’ fastest-growing companies in Africa.
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A few days ago, we asked how you’re dealing with load-shedding. And would you believe that most of us in this community have only a battery to keep the WiFi going? Second is buying solar outright.
🟨🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️ 🌞 I bought my solar, baby (24.39%)
🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🏆 Renting solar and it’s lekker (9.75%)
🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️⬜️ 💪 A monster inverter, but still on the grid (14.63%)
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 📱 Just a small UPS and inverter to keep the WiFi on (34.15%)
🟨🟨🟨⬜️⬜️⬜️ 🕯️ Candles, board games and gas stove (17.07%)
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Hi there,
Keen to get away from that smartphone? This Finnish island aims to become the world’s first “phone-free” island. They are even giving tourists stickers to put over their screens so as to still use their phones as cameras.
When they pay you to use it…
With the whole world set on Green Energy – whether due to climate activists and policymakers lobbying in Murca, Europe and the rest of the first world, or driven by the necessity to survive loadshedding here in SA – there was a bit of an unexpected trend these past few weeks… Negative electricity prices in Europe.
Due to good weather and favourable conditions up North and the fact that renewables have now surpassed coal generation, their power prices have dropped below zero a few times now. Yep, that’s right, every now and again they’ve been paying people to use electricity as it’s cheaper for renewable power plants to pay customers to use more electricity than it would be to shut the plant down. Coupled with a coincidental drop in demand, it saw prices as low as minus R1’500 per megawatt hour.
And this might just be the future of electricity as more and more renewables enter the grid.
Back home, and mega-unsurprisingly, South Africans have been loading up on solar to mitigate the impact of loadshedding, and you can bet it’s starting to make an impact.
In 2022, R5.6 billion worth of solar panels were imported. And in the first quarter of this year, that number is already sitting at R3.6 billion. Which equates to between 700MW–1000MW of solar capacity added in Q1 alone. With 1000MW = 1 stage of loadshedding, if the rate of installation continues at the same trend, we might see 4000MW of renewables hitting the grid by year-end, reducing load shedding by 4 stages (assuming we can supply solar power back into the grid – do it, Uncle Cyril).
But what happens when solar and wind end up providing way more than we need to keep the lights on?
If you haven't already checked it out, the EskomSePush (ESP) app already shows daily Capacity Forecasts under the “ Insights” part of the app.
At its lowest point of demand – 2 AM – SA was forecast to be using just under 20’000 MW – way less than is available. But what is most interesting is the line of supply is pretty straight (constant) at the moment. With renewables incoming, that is set to change.
We all know government needs a plan to keep the lights on. But noting this global trend, post our loadshedding days, the way electricity is sold, stored and used is bound to change drastically. I.e. when that Available line starts to fluctuate…
Imagine energy prices fluctuating like stock prices – and all the wonderful opportunities that would bring…
Batteries and inverters and/or other electricity storage can become a game changer when prices fluctuate between getting paid to use and paying to use. It could allow you to buy electricity when it's cheap, and use it when it's expensive.
And that would need entirely new tech solutions:
Electricity arbitrage could be an interesting opportunity if prices of electricity differ substantially for different times of the day or even between different regions. Buy low sell high – just like crypto or stocks (for some people, at least).
Finally, with solar panels and battery prices dropping rapidly, loadshedding might not only be a thing of the past (whether Eskom and government continue to do nothing about it or not) but we could see a whole host of new opportunities, as we said a few weeks ago in our letter on new business opportunities in energy.
🤖 AI Toolbox. With the rate at which AI is developing and the sheer volume of AI products, tools and platforms hitting the streets, it could be overwhelming to find something useful. Fear not. Check out these 500 ChatGPT plugins tested.
🤑 TikTok or TechTitan? Not satisfied with going after Apple and Spotify’s music streaming pie, TikTok has announced its plans to go after Amazon and other e-commerce players with TikTok Shop, a bustling livestream marketplace set to hit US$ 20 billion in gross merchandise value by the end of 2023.
🔥 Hot Track. Frank Sinatra just dropped his latest single – A cover of Coolio’s “Gangsta’s Paradise”. The AI-generated track (practically indistinguishable from the Jazz Icon’s style and voice) is an absolute masterpiece.
🍿 Magic at the Movies. Looks like the SA cinema landscape is recovering after Covid. Ster Kinekor has reported that their revenue is up 27% compared to last year, coupled with an uptick in attendance.
🚧 Roadblocked. After 24 seasons over 23 years on South African TV, the popular daily soapie, 7de Laan, has been cancelled. The fictional but iconic suburb, Hillside, was home to some of Afrikaans TV's most memorable characters, with many of the cast becoming household names. The final episode will air on Boxing Day this year.
So, you have your MVP or scaled-down product running and are focusing like crazy on delighting people – you know, to build that sweet, sweet customer experience that’ll make ‘em a client for life…
And those key moments – like when someone subscribes to your service or buys your product – are your chance to break out the champagne, and wine and dine like crazy.
Now, you might remember a few weeks ago in our letter on the SA taxi crisis, when we spoke to Mxit, Snapscan, OfferZen etc. mover Ben Blaine about doing things that don't scale. A huge insight from this was his views on creating these awesome customer experiences.
We were paying attention and built out the gist of it for you here:
We all want a 5-star experience, but it’s tricky to design because the limit of 5 limits your thinking – you tend to 3.5 stars, which isn’t that great.
So, go a bit over the top. Start with 10. Sit with your team and ask: What would we do to make the customer experience a 10-star experience? If money (or reality) was no obstacle at all?
Like, imagine someone signs up, and your ultimate 10-star experience would be to have Taylor Swift personally appear at their door to serenade them “congratulations”, and give them a bottle of champagne and a biltong basket or whatever.
(We don’t know, whatever you imagine the ultimate is for your brand/product).
Ok, so you can’t afford to hire Taylor Swift for even one sign-up, but maybe you can send them an email that when they open it, plays a Taylor Swift song or jingle. And maybe it’s somewhat possible to courier the guy a bottle of champers and some biltong? (Depending on the lifetime income you’re likely to generate, of course.) How’s that for an experience?
Or maybe just the jingle is pretty cool, and maybe a voucher. Whatever you can actually afford that brings you as close to that ultimate dream celebration scenario.
Once you have an idea that might work, do it. If it’s possible, don’t wait. That little bit extra might be what drives your adoption up when you need it most. And, if you’re talking about brand differentiation, well, you’re defs going to stand out among the guys who don’t put in a little extra celebration.
Dream about a 10, design a 7 and hit a 5 every time!
What would you like to see when you refer a friend to The Open Letter? We can’t quite do a Taylor Swift, but we will give you a major digital high-5 and refer two friends and get a free coffee! Want something else? Hit reply and lay it on us…
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Plus: Disabling robotaxis, BRICS money, better user feedback & the US wants to help Eskom out of its misery.
Hi there,
Unhappy with autonomous cars? No worries, protestors show you can just disable Waymo’s robotaxis with nothing but a traffic cone.
Did it just become a cage fight to the death…?
How do you get 100m users in just 4 days? Just leverage it off your other existing 1.6-billion-user-base products, of course.
Ask Zuck: In one of the biggest vanity metric moves ever, he boasted about his 100m users – which all turned out to be Instagram users, naturally – and continued to make fun of Elon Musk on his new Twitter clone, Threads.
You know, friendly banter ahead of the big one…
But how do you ensure your totally new, built-from-scratch startup app adds value to its 100m first-week users?
Well, some say, you just hire all the employees the owner of the app you’re cloning is firing (‘member when Musk fired 50% of Twitter employees?) and then “allegedly” go and scrape that app’s userbase to inform your new product’s network and recommendations features.
Jip, the Twitter-Threads episode is likely a pretty big plot point in Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk’s “let’s have a cage fight” saga.
What the beef’s about this time
Well, let’s not mince words here, Meta is under a lot of pressure. Facebook has been steadily declining. Losing 1m European users and 2.8% of UK users in 2018, about 42% of US Facebook users between 18 and 29 say they don’t log in very often while 44% just deleted the app. Add a 20% drop in US teen usage in 2020, and you can see where it’s going.
And then there’s Zuck’s Metaverse…
Not to mention lawmakers and lobbyists are having a field day with Meta’s user-information policies. The real reason Threads has not launched in Europe is a landmark EU court case blocking it from sharing info between its apps. The same court ruling says Meta generated 97% of its revenue illegally in Europe.
Long story short, Zucks and Meta needed to make moves, and Elon’s Twitter seemed like a weak target because of his takeover circus.
And that’s where it “allegedly” gets a bit underhanded…
In a supposedly leaked cease-and-desist letter last week, Twitter threatens to sue Meta for "systematic, willful and unlawful misappropriation" of Twitter's trade secrets and IP. Broken down like this:
All are illegal according to Twitter’s usage license agreement. An Elon’s not happy….
The Twitter gold
Let’s be honest, there have been a lot of attempts to clone Twitter including Mastodon, Bluesky and Truth Social. In fact, the Twitter copies are so plentiful, even Twitter Founder and now backer of Bluesky, Jack Dorsey is making fun of it.
But most of them failed to make major inroads into Twitter’s user base.
Why? Well, because the Twitter magic doesn’t lie in the tech, it lies in the fact that people have spent 17 years building their Twitter followings – i.e. the user data (which Meta allegedly just scraped).
See, when Elon bought Twitter for $44 billion, you might have asked, why not just build your own app? Chuck a billy into app dev and 43 billy into marketing and surely you have a better Twitter, right? Nope, it’s not that easy.
The IP Twitter built up on the platform over a decade-and-a-half includes followers, connections and interactions. Think about it: Establishing yourself on Twitter took years of hard work, why on Earth would you just give it up and go start over on a new platform? It’s just not worth it.
And what’s more, those that built that following will fight for the platform they built it on.
Will this fly?
So, Twitter’s biggest defence? The years people have invested in building their Twitter profiles.
Will it go to court? Tough one, because those things drag on so long, the damage is likely to be done long before anyone even testifies.
Will Threads last? We are not convinced. As soon as people realise it's the same amount of effort to build and maintain a worthwhile following, they are likely to drop off. What’s more, it seems like Zuck and co are using the same level of censorship on Threads that's going down on Meta’s other apps. So, maybe it’ll kill itself quietly…?
Or maybe the world has moved on from wanting free speech? Perhaps the future world town hall truly is going to become Zuck’s for the taking.
What do you think? Hit reply and let us know.
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👍 Thumbs Up. Beware of using the “Thumbs Up” emoji, especially as a response to a legal document sent to you in Canada. A court in Canada forced a grain buyer to honour a contract in full after he responded to receiving it with the emoji, which the court says is as good as signing.
🏖️ Life’s a Beach. Not one, but two South African beaches have made the Top 20 most beautiful beaches in the world by Betway. Camps Beach and Hout Bay Beach clocked in at number 15 and number 20 on the 100 beach list.
🤑 Show me the Money. The BRICS nations are apparently in talks to establish a new currency – and with approximately 80 other countries keen to join, it could be the start of some interesting geopolitical shifts. Don't burn up your Randelas just yet, though – a move like this could take a long time to bring about.
⚡ ‘Murca Power. The US Trade and Development Agency announced a $1.3 million grant to assess the economic, technical, commercial and financial viability of new technologies to improve South Africa’s transmission grid.
🎵 Sound of Music. TikTok to launch music streaming service TikTok Music to compete with dominant players Apple Music and Spotify. It provides song recommendations and personalised curation to help users find viral songs from TikTok videos.
We can all agree on one thing – building something substantial and meaningful is no walk in the park. It's a journey laden with obstacles, complications, and inevitable setbacks.
And a simple "Hey, I like your product" skyrockets your morale so much, it can often lead you astray (we’re all human) and into posing leading questions. You know, those Qs that steer people towards giving you the answers you want to hear.
The thing is, it’s the hard ones, the answers you don’t want to hear, that you really need to grow.
What magic can non-leading questions work for you?
They might not always give you the praise you crave, but they can offer far richer rewards:
💡 Firstly, they can give you actionable insights that reach far beyond your current scope. Insights can guide your future tweaks, revamps, or even entirely new features. In other words, they can help you shape the future of your product.
🎯 Secondly, non-leading questions can bring you closer to that golden nugget we call the “truth”. If you're hunting for product-market fit, you need authentic and useful insights. That means feedback directly from users, without any subtle (or not-so-subtle) nudges from your end.
🌱 Lastly, they can keep you grounded. In the early days, you'll likely find that honest feedback can smash some of your cherished assumptions and elaborate ideas. But remember – this is a good thing! It's these reality checks that keep us humble, and more importantly, keep us innovating and improving.
So let's dive in and discover the art of asking non-leading questions…
Let them share their unique application or use case
Prompt them with new information
Try to understand their process
Allow them to express their feelings/thoughts
Direct attention without presumption
Invite them to elaborate on their own points
Ask neutral questions
Avoid emotionally charged language
Break down complex questions
Now some leading questions might have their place, especially when you’re iterating with your team internally.
But practising how to ask non-leading questions in our own specific startup or business context can help us get the right types of insights, bring us closer to the truth, and keep us grounded.
Got a pet-peeve question to share? Or maybe some more insights on getting good-quality feedback? Hit reply and let us know.
Providing health and wellness to employees became significantly more important since 2020. Many companies, whether working in-office or remotely, have had to find ways to ensure their staff are looked after while adding culture.
This is a massive opportunity that Chris Bruchhausen from Strove explained to us in this week's episode of How Would You Build It.
Or if podcast app is your vibe, catch them here:
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Plus: Cassette-tape kimonos, a chocolate “klap” & 6 metrics to sanity check for your startup.
Hi there,
Old habits die hard. This Japanese textile factory still uses of punch cards and data cassette tapes to produce textiles.
There’s BIG money spun by the pinnacle of motorsport…
Formula 1, or simply F1, is raced in some of the most affluent places in the world, by some of the highest-paid sportsmen on the planet. From ticket prices, merchandising, broadcasting rights, and sponsorships, it’s a literal money printer.
With 275 sponsors across the 10 F1 teams in the 2023 season, all dropping anywhere between $1 million to $50 million per year, per sponsor, that amount is astronomical. And given its recent rise in popularity due to Netflix’s Drive to Survive bringing the sport to a whole new generation of fans, it’ll only get bigger.
And where there are eyes, sponsors will follow.
F1 & Sponsors
Back in the day, F1 cars had sponsor logos primarily on the sides and rear wings because this was the most prominent place to put it to be seen by fans and TV cameras trackside. Even non-smokers will remember the famous brand on 7-time-world Champion Michael Schumacher’s Ferrari.
Enter Social Media and The Influencers
With the rise of social media, suddenly F1 teams had a direct line to their fans. And with fans came influencers. From updates on social media to full-length shows on YouTube, these people make a living by commentating on sporting events and have a massive influence on the sport.
Folks like:
Teams would host these social media influencers, giving them an exclusive back garage view of what happens on a race weekend, including meeting the drivers, seeing the teams in action, and, most importantly, posing with the cars for a pic to share.
And these pics, in front of the cars, would feature the nose cone (the front of the car).
And therein is the opportunity.
The humble nose cone, that no one would think of putting any more logos on beyond the manufacturer and perhaps title sponsor (because the amount of airtime was so little during the race), became a piece of advertising space that would now suddenly be seen by millions.
Well, Halo there innovation…
With the culmination of advanced cameras and angles on the cars, the driver’s view helmet cam and of course the introduction of the Halo (curved bar placed to protect the driver's head), you now had another premier place to put a sponsor logo.
In this past weekend’s British Grand Prix, McLaren driver Lando Norris tested a camera pointed at his pedals and driveshaft. It made for a fascinating look into the use of braking and acceleration during the race.
Which was another chance for the sponsorship team to add a sponsor’s logo to the heels of the driver’s shoes.
The Future of Onboard Sponsors
At the start of the 2023 season, McLaren rolled out a digital sponsor panel, visible from the cockpit cam. Weighing less than a can of Red Bull, it offers the team the ability to change sponsor logos throughout the race.
Fun Fact: In this past weekend’s race, the sponsor panel was replaced with a sticker to save weight due to the chrome finish (as opposed to the normal painted carbon fibre) of their special livery for the British Grand Prix.
The Opportunity
Technology is known to offer new angles and insights into our favourite sports. Each of these new angles or new views offers more things to look at and ultimately more advertising space to sell. An often less obvious business model for sports fan tech geeks.
If you’re watching Wimbledon right now you will see this in action when a player disputes whether a ball was called out (or in) correctly by a linesperson. The game will pause and everyone will turn their attention to Hawk-eye to see the flight of the ball and the tech-measured bounce — a juicy advertising space.
What’s more, most sports games you watch these days have a “win predictor” that comes up on the screen ever so often. In years gone by, these have been fairly inaccurate but recently with big data and AI, two things have happened – predictions have become way better and AI/big data companies, like AWS, Microsoft or IBM, love to sponsor that slot.
Back home
Take South African-founded Fancam. Back in 2011, they developed a camera that can take high-resolution, 360-degree photos of stadiums for fans to see themselves in a stadium, at the game. Share this on social or print it for your fridge, either way, it will feature a logo of someone who is paying to be there.
Similarly, a few months ago, we ran a story on South African startup Inrange gamifying the golf driving range experience. Introducing tech to make a driving range more fun also came with the opportunity to add advertising real estate to these games.
Find the angle
South Africa is sport mad – find tech that can either improve the game or improve the fan experience, and there might just be a new angle that can feature a sponsor’s logo.
And with the continued rise of AR & VR’s capabilities (we wrote about Apple’s play in this space), who knows what else could be possible?
Building a new angle or tool for sports? We would love to check it out. Hit reply and let us know.
🍫 Not so Sweet. Chocolate prices are set to soar as high global cocoa prices and the ongoing energy crisis are klapping local chocolate manufacturers.
🌊 Top spot. Wanna work at one of the Top 50 Y Combinator-alumni companies? YC released a list of their 50 highest revenue-generating companies. Unsurprisingly, the list features Airbnb, Coinbase and Webflow, but it also features one startup operating mainly in Africa, Wave.
🇿🇦 Stillknocks. Local MMA fighter Dricuss du Plessis is set to become the Number 1 contender in the UFC Middleweight division after knocking out Robert Whittaker in the second round of their fight at UF290 over the weekend – extending his UFC win streak to six.
🔥 Roof on fire. Vodacom’s Cape Town HQ had to be evacuated on Sunday after a fire broke out. Fortunately, no injuries were reported and the cause is yet to be determined, but initial speculation by eagle-eyed Twitter detectives point to the solar panels installed on the roof.
💊 No pain. Talk about efficiency, scientists have discovered a way to create (previously expensive and labour-intensive) Ibuprofen and other painkillers for way cheaper with paper industry waste.
Meet Jimmy. Jimmy is a startup founder and the media loves him. They write about him weekly and he has 100k+ followers on social media. Jimmy has raised money pre-launching his product and he wins every single pitch competition there is.
Will Jimmy’s startup be successful? It's impossible to tell. Because all we shared are vanity metrics. Metrics that make you feel good but say nothing about the prospects of the business.
Vanity metrics make part of what we like to call “startup theatre” where people (mostly evident at conferences and events) talk about startup stuff, yet not one is building successful businesses.
Now, vanity metrics aren’t useless, they’re simply misleading – giving founders a false sense of progress. Here are some vanity metrics to be cautious about and good sanity metrics to replace them with:
1. Views & impressions
2. User numbers & registrations
3. App Store rankings
4. Total signups
5. Pitch competitions
6. Funding rounds
Have you found any particular vanity metric a sticky one? Did we miss something? Hit reply and let us know.
Find more awesome business ideas from South Africa's favourite startup and tech newsletter.
Plus: Meta’s Twitter competitor, how you trained AI & building things that don’t scale (on purpose).
Hi there,
Think you’ve mastered AI prompt injection? (Tricking an AI into revealing things they shouldn’t.) AI safety company Lakera developed the Gandalf game, where you try to trick the AI into revealing its secret through multiple levels. Go get your AI hack on.
And there’s much to be done to stop it…
In the sphere of urban planning, it's become increasingly important to develop mixed-class neighbourhoods. For two reasons: combating classism and reducing the burden on our transport systems.
Living close to work means less commuting, promoting a higher quality of life. So proper city planning not only aims to reduce dependence on transport infrastructure but also to create healthier, more connected communities.
Remember apartheid's approach, which pushed people out of cities and into townships? It essentially undermined these principles of community development. In its wake, the minibus taxi industry emerged, serving the transport needs of the populace (circa 15 million people per day) and creating profitable enterprises in the process.
The bump in the road
During our recent chat with LÜLA CEO Velani Mboweni on How Would You Build It, we learnt that some 60% of South Africans depend on minibus taxis for their primary transport. But, unlike bus services, taxis don’t receive government subsidies. And, like it or not, our economy is deeply reliant on the minibus taxi industry for daily transport.
Now, there's a growing concern about taxi owners who are struggling. And minibus financing specialist SA Taxi is also feeling the pressure. Its parent company, Transaction Capital (who also owns WeBuyCars)’s share price is down substantially and SA Taxi has undergone major restructuring to keep it going.
Consider that SA Taxi finances over 36’000 of the estimated 250’000 taxis in South Africa (about 15%, or every 7th taxi you see on the road). And if this company is struggling, it is a reflection of broader issues.
Cause and effect
The crisis is not due to a lack of industry-specific innovation. We were impressed when we visited SA Taxi’s operations a few years ago – their understanding of the taxi business and ability to offer great value whilst reducing risks and costs way surpasses anything traditional banks could do.
Despite these innovative approaches, several factors have contributed to the taxi industry battling to stay afloat:
Light at the end of the tunnel
While the situation is concerning, the taxi industry has shown resilience in the past. There's still room for optimisation within the current model, and technology could play a significant role.
Some of the obvious challenges include:
Opportunity time
Looking forward, there's a raft of opportunities for the taxi industry that could streamline operations and boost viability:
For years, tech adoption had been lacklustre in this space, perhaps now with sufficient pressure, the time to use technology to optimise is finally here. We are excited to see this industry go from strength to strength.
Need an inside look into the tax industry? Hit reply, we might be able to organise it for you…
🥵 Hot stuff. Records are meant to be broken (or are they)? Monday was the hottest recorded day globally with an average global temperature of 17 degrees Celsius. Probs something to do with that pesky El Niño thing we spoke about in a previous Open Letter.
🧵 Stitched up. Meta’s Twitter competitor (called Threads) is set to release today. According to a source inside Meta, they believe a version of Twitter run by a “sane person” is what the world needs. Depending on your definition of sane, it's either very good or very bad. Got an iPhone? The app will appear here.
🥊 Beat down. DStv’s owner MultiChoice’s share price took a beating after JP Morgan Chase & Co downgraded its rating of the company. This while French premium TV channel Canal+ increased their stake to 31.7% — one step closer to being forced to offer a buyout to other shareholders (which is at 35%).
🤑 Got crypto? SA exchanges might soon be forced to shut down if they don’t have licenses. SA’s Financial Sector Conduct Authority (FSCA) is pushing for regulation and SA is set to become the first African country to require digital asset exchanges to get licenses.
🎉 AI Trainer. Congrats on officially becoming an AI Trainer. Well, your publicly available information anyway. Google just updated its privacy policy saying they use publicly available info to help train their AI models. Time to go and update our LinkedIn Bios.
Want to build the next TikTok, Facebook, Uber or Airbnb? You know, products whose true value only unlocks once you’ve onboarded a certain number of users/stakeholders.
Well, the trick to building a network effect product is to NOT DO IT (at first, at least).
Method in the Madness
According to Y Combinator co-founder Paul Graham, and his 2013 essay that’s become startup folklore, it’s much better to build things that don’t scale at first.
What that means is: Network-effect products are complex, costly and super risky to build. If you don’t nail it first-time, you waste years of time and resources and so much money your investors won’t ever want to touch you again – that’s why most won’t invest in network-effect products anymore.
It’s best to build a non-scaling version first.
For example: Instead of trying to build a fancy new product
Then, only once you have the community and service running so smoothly you can’t manage it anymore, that’s when you consider building the product. (It’s more common than you think: EskomSePush also started as spreadsheets first.)
So, how do you build for not scaling? Well, we were lucky enough to have an expert at that in our “How Would You Build It” podcast this week – check it out down below.
For now…
5 Steps for Building Solutions That Don’t Scale
Want to delve deeper into the topic? Check out our podcast below – it’s seriously great for when you want to build smart and well.
Stuck on how to “minimise” your big product idea? Hit reply and give us the non-NDA version and we’ll brainstorm it a bit with you…
Ok, so we’ve discussed what it means to do things that don’t scale. But how do you put that into practice? Ben Blaine shares some war stories from pioneering the concept in SA from the early days of Mxit, Snapscan, OfferZen and running the Investec Programmable Banking project.
Buckle up for storytime for your weekly dose of How Would You Build It on YouTube, Spotify or Apple Podcast.
10:19 Getting Investec programmable banking off the ground.
21:45 Finding the tipping point.
29:29 How finding your early adopters grew SnapScan.
33:24 Once upon a Mxit.
36:31 The one thing every startup gets wrong.
44:08 A story that validates the 'secret' approach.
Or if podcast app is your vibe, catch them here:
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Find more awesome business ideas from South Africa's favourite startup and tech newsletter.
Plus: SA’s secret airship, the first 5 days of your startup & how Elon plans to limit your Twitter time.
Hi there,
Tired of them golden teeth? The world’s first tooth regrowth medicine is going on trial in Japan. The team behind it aims to have it ready for commercial use by 2030.
150 million more buyers or some good old startup hustle.
Naspers recently released its annual results and in it, the performance of South Africa’s largest e-commerce player, Takealot. It recorded a loss of R400 million in the fiscal year ended 31 March 2023. This is despite a 13% increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) and a 12% rise in revenue in local currency.
Former CEO, Kim Reid, who left Naspers to buy Take2, rebrand it to Takealot and eventually merge it with Kalahari.com (Nasper’s old e-commerce play), said previously that Takealot should be profitable by 2021.
Two years later, the loss has grown. And maybe even more worrying is that over the last 3 years, their revenue growth has slowed down substantially.
Much of the reporting on the matter focussed on some of the obvious factors – tough economic circumstances, loadshedding, and increased fuel prices. But is there more to this than simply the current climate? We think there is…
An American model in an African Context
Amazon has been the global e-commerce pioneer for years. And many e-commerce offerings around the world have modelled Amazon in their territory. But just how practical is their model in South Africa?
Americans earn on average ±$ 60 000 (R1.1m) per year, while in South Africa the average salary is around R350 000. Add in some of the extra costs South Africans need to pay for healthcare, education and security and it's even less.
Now consider that the USA has 166 million salary-earning employed people, compared to South Africa’s 16.1 million. Not only is the disposable income per wage earner 4 times less but there are also 90% fewer wage earners – yikes!
Perhaps that’s the reason why Amazon has never set up shop locally – even though a large part of the AWS team is based in Cape Town.
The shopping mall nation
6 years ago, South Africa ranked 6th in the world for the number of shopping malls. Visit any large mall in your area on the weekend and you will see grazing the isles have become one of the most popular pastimes. And that’s the design:
Perhaps that’s what’s missing from Takealot-style e-commerce – there’s no anchor tenant and one can tend to forget about it. Next time you are at the mall to buy groceries, pop into Game to check out that TV you want to buy. Not to mention there’s no delivery delay – load it up and go.
SA’s established mall model is likely e-commerce’s direct competitor. But Takealot knows this, so what else has changed?
Easier than ever to launch e-commerce
Roll back the clock to pre-2020 when Takealot had a massive strategic advantage. Last-mile delivery was underdeveloped, and when they scooped up Mr Delivery (Mr D) back in 2014, they secured dominance with the ability to do same-day delivery.
Then Covid came along and not only is everyone doing it, B2B service providers make it easier than ever for established brands to launch e-commerce offerings. And it’s mostly on the logistics side, where last-mile-as-a-service delivery providers, such as Pargo and even Uber are eating away at Takealot’s competitive advantage. You don’t need a MrD to launch a compelling e-commerce offering.
And this means Takealot is facing stiff competition from all angles. We recently covered Dischem’s growth in e-commerce, whose R400 million in customer spend could very well have been Takealot customers a few years ago. And Dischem isn’t the only one. Bash, founded by former Superbalist founders (which ironically sold to Takealot) is consolidating the TFG brands under one online megastore. And with some good old SEO sorcery as well as some startup hustle, they claim to have outranked Superbalist on search.
An approach to consider
If E-commerce can replicate the mall’s anchor tenant trick, this could bring their cost of acquiring a customer down substantially and allow for larger margins on bigger ticket items. Recent ads by Pick n Pay ASAP! suggest that they are exploring this.
You can order your groceries and get them fast. And, hey, why not add that luxury item you’ve been eyeing all this while…
Smart move.
As for Takealot, finding out how to integrate its offering to be front and centre of its customers' lives will be crucial. Perhaps being the “everything” e-commerce store is hurting them.
Dive into some niches or better yet, find a way to pitch right next to an “anchor tenant of the internet” – perhaps a Naspers-owned media site, who knows…
Got e-commerce experience? Hit reply and share your insights…
1️⃣ Firstbook. Not on Facebook? Well seems like everyone else is. Facebook is the number 1 social media platform in SA, with TikTok gaining ground pretty well – driven primarily by SA youth’s social media habits. (if you are on Facebook, go give us a follow)
🖥️ WhatsApp Meetings? That WhatsApp group your boss made for everyone at work might soon replace Zoom for meetings. WhatsApp is testing video calls with up to 32 participants. For now, it’s only available on desktops.
🔒️ Touch grass. In what is yet another fascinating episode of how to run a massive organisation like a startup, Elon Musk introduced a new rate limiter on Twitter over the weekend. You can now only see 300–6000 posts per day (depending on your subscriber status). This is all done in an effort to limit data scrapers that are using Twitter to train large language models.
🩺 DocPods. Apple AirPods are set to become your hearing Doctor. The next generation of AirPods could check for potential hearing issues and measure your body temperature (thankfully) via your ear canal. We guess it’s true what they say about an Apple a day…
🪁 AirShip. After years of flying “under the radar,” a South African-built autonomous airship was unveiled at the 2023 Paris Air Show. With awesome applications, these airships can be operated inexpensively with little infrastructure. We never knew airships were still a thing, much less that they were being built in SA.
Startupclub ZA is hosting a meetup next week Thursday (13 July) in Cape Town. The event will feature an interview with Bevan Ducasse (Yoyo formerly WiGroup) and Greg Chen (Mobiz) followed by some networking and good vibes.
Ok, so you’ve validated your Startup idea (using the handy tips from a previous Builders Corner) and looks like you’re onto something promising. And so it starts…
This is where most techies jump in and start building, setting off a months-long rabbit-hole adventure of pizza, caffeine and blinking away the sleep.
We say no, build on the business side of your idea a little first.
See, startups are such an investment, you need to be 1’000’000% sure it has legs and you’re still gonna want to be “climbing that hill” in 10 months’ time.
Here’s how to spend your first 5 days
It’s more important and powerful than you think. Needs to convey what you do but also be memorable, adaptable, distinct and super easy to spell and pronounce – without being cheezy. Plus: Some say you need to be able to use it as a verb – like Google – and keep in mind that you might want to expand one day, so it should be able to grow with you.
Check out Namelix AI name generator.
Logos go everywhere. From your business, right the way through to your product. It makes a powerful first impression of your company – and if it’s super memorable or recognisable, it serves as a bat signal high in the night sky – golden arches anyone?
Plus, in the tech space, did you even attend a conference if you don't get a company’s logo as a sticker?
Give Looka AI logo maker a try.
We’ve said before that you don’t even need a product to start building a client list and testing your idea on the market. Starting a sales funnel-powered website is an awesome way to do just that. You can always expand on it later.
Check out 10Web AI builder for a quick site and then start building a funnel by offering some value-adds for download in exchange for emails – test ideas with PageGenie’s landing page builder.
Build a community around your product, showcase your wares, and educate potential customers in your network about the benefits of your product. With so many social channels to choose from, it might be worth your while to focus in on one – where your specific target audience might be and grow from there.
Ask ChatGPT or Bard to help you generate some posts based on known problems your target market is facing that your solution can help solve (just trawl relevant subreddits on Reddit for ideas or search AnswerThePublic), then use Buffer to easily share and schedule posts on up to 3 social networks for free.
Iterate. Iterate. Iterate. If you find that certain types of content perform better to grow your audience, drive traffic to your site and make sales, double down your efforts.
Do a bit of social listening and deep analytics with Socialbaker, or optimise your ads (if you’re running any) with Wordstream’s machine learning or AdCopy, otherwise just rework, recycle and repost your top-performing content with Feedhive.
Next up, you’ll want to refine your funnel, start building some pitches and get some trial users – but that’s for day 6 onwards.
Did we miss something? Hit reply and let us know if we should anything to this list.
PLUS: Don’t sleep on our 25 AI Tools for Startups – free when you refer a friend.
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Plus: Who ate all the zebras? Drone cops & 8 more costly startup mistakes to avoid.
Hi there,
Hungry? The Eastern Cape Parks and Tourism Agency is blaming people from Lesotho for illegally hunting, killing and eating every single animal in SA’s 13 000-hectare Ongeluksnek Nature Reserve, just northwest of Kokstad. This while Lesotho leadership debates whether it should proceed with land claims for half of South Africa’s land.
It’s time to innovate…
It’s official, there’s a good chance we’re in for a particularly strong El Niño towards the end of 2023. But what does that mean? Failed crops, drought, floods, late rains and loads of freak weather – you know, end-of-the-world kind of stuff.
We’re currently in the tail end of La Niña (the cooler surface temps in the eastern Pacific Ocean often bring wetter-than-usual weather to Southern Africa, which goes a long way to explain our current crazy winter conditions), with El Niño set to replace it later this year.
We know, because we’ve seen it before…
Snapshot of El Niño 2014–2016
What happens is the Pacific Ocean warms too much, which reverses trade winds, causing weather havoc around the world. Specifically, droughts in the southern hemisphere.
But here’s the thing: It’s cyclical, happening every 2–7 years (the last one was in 2017, during Cape Town’s infamous Water Crisis). And that means looking at what happened in the past gives us a good indication of what’s likely to happen again.
What happened in the past
Note: We used 2015 as a guide because it was a doozy.
Africa
Australia
Southeastern Asia
South America
Pacific Islands
North America
Europe
Where’s the opportunity?
Those lists above should read like a job card for an innovator. With much of South African agriculture dependent on rainfall, now’s the time for water storage and management innovation.
Or what about early warning systems or drought management for farmers? Remember the African farmers who track droughts using SA-built satellites? Or consider innovations like Stellenbosch startup Arable’s container farms as El Niño-beating solutions.
Speaking of, what about solutions to ensure food security? Or ways to improve local government’s communication with farmers? As with any innovation these days, we bet AI will have a say in helping farmers determine the best time to plant, water, treat and harvest.
High temperatures are going to create a need for more (and more innovative) solar solutions. And don’t underestimate the power of creating a crisis-communication mouthpiece – we talk about EskomSePush a lot, because, well, it’s genius – what about the same thing but for El Niño (early warnings, responses, reporting, sharing info etc.)?
Or think: Better ways to track fish migrations in the oceans. Better ways to predict flooding and losses – insurance companies might shower you in gold for the right new tool.
Basically, read through the list of possible effects above and ask yourself: “Hmm, can I build a tool to help with that?” Then, see if you can make money with it. And you’re on your way.
The best part? This repeats every few years, so whatever you build now will be useful practically forever.
Did we spark an idea or miss something? Hit reply if you want some more info on a specific region or possible El Niño effect…
🌊 Open Waters. After several KZN beaches were closed last week due to “alien materials” found within a pump station causing it to malfunction, beaches in Umhlanga have re-opened as water quality has improved (read: less 💩 in the water you swim in).
🔻 Crashing Down. Local e-commerce Takealot has reported a R407 million loss for the year ending 31 March 2023. This while parent company Naspers profit plummets by R147 billion.
💻 More IT jobs. Some good news as demand for systems and network administrators, database designers, developers and admins has increased by 6% over the last quarter in SA.
👀 Drone Cops. SAPS has announced a new crime-fighting initiative with 13 officers of the Gauteng Drone Squad getting their operator licenses. Drones are seen by many as an effective way to combat crime – nicely done.
🥩 Biltong run. A South African man tragically had 40kg of biltong & droëwors seized (and destroyed) at the Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport in the USA. Absolutely devastating given the US street value of biltong is around R2’000 per kg.
📱 Dialling in. FNB and MTN set to partner to provide better services to the banking giant’s cellular offering, FNB Connect. By leveraging MTN’s existing infrastructure, FNB hopes to accelerate and expand their telecoms offering.
A few weeks ago we covered 8 costly startup founder mistakes. But startups are complex and there are way more than 8 things that can go wrong. Here’s your part 2…
Think we missed one? Let us know by replying…
Imagine turning your subscription model into a currency. After a successful exit from his previous venture, Marc Gregory saw another gap and founded Ollie Health, a virtual B2B mental health platform.
Tune in to find out how he achieved this and what else is on his radar.
02:50 Road to becoming a founder
15:01 Currency as a busines model
22:21 Fundamentals of growth
25:51 AI as a competitor
31:33 Marc shares insights into a potential opportunity
Or if podcast app is your vibe, catch them here:
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Plus: Don’t drink NASA’s water, where the big money is & the perfect co-founder match.
Hi there,
Think a tinkle in the pool is bad? NASA just announced its environmental systems are now so good they recycle 98% of astronaut sweat, breath & urine on the ISS for consumption by those onboard. A huge leap for space exploration further out from Earth, but not something we’d include in their recruitment brochures.
Our grandkids will be learning about this in school – want in?
Every generation or so, a massive opportunity opens. A chance for fast movers to build mega-companies virtually overnight. Mega-corps that rule entire industries for decades – if not centuries to come. (Think Google for search, Facebook for social, Space X for, well, space.)
It’s important because it’s happening again right here in SA, right now. The crown(s) are ripe for the taking… in the Energy Sector.
And a lot of late-sleepers gonna wish they had a time machine…
And we know it’s happening because it’s happened before…
Like back in 1994, when the old state-owned South African Telecommunications Corporation (SATCC) was dissolved and its assets transferred to Telkom – at that time, pretty much your only option for making a telephone call.
But with the development of GSM networks, things were set to change.
The Monopoly comes to an end
1994 Set off the SA telecoms arms race, with mobile network licenses issued by the government for MTN and Vodacom. And now, 29 years later, it’s still hard for newcomers to make a dent in that space – just ask Cell C about its net loss of R2.5 billion last year.
That’s Opportunity 1: Be the Big Dog.
But there’s also Opportunity 2, and that has legs…
See Vodacom and MTN became large successful operations with market caps in the R250 billion range and operations in multiple countries. But they are still using an array of service providers for optimal function. One such company that started out by servicing telco operators is Stellenbosch-based EMSS Consulting.
EMSS Consulting provides products and services for telecoms to comply with regulations — a lucrative business. And a few years on and Alphawave was born. It is the holding company for innovative technology startups such as Skynamo, Inrange and Fanfire (to name but a few).
And it’s happening right now
Back in 2019, the South African government announced that Eskom will be split into three entities:
And, of course, the wheels turn slowly, but the recent loadshedding-and-solar saga seems to have created way more urgency. So private power generation is starting to look a lot more likely in SA – it could mean a private power plant could sell electricity to a municipality using the newly formed Transmission entity of old Eskom.
Why does this matter? Because just like in the case of mobile network operators, we anticipate two things to happen if we can start producing and selling power:
So if you are not busy becoming the big dogs, some of the opportunities to consider include:
If you want to get some ideas, check out the UK energy sector – it deregulated in 1989 and there are loads of really competitive players in that space (lots of them are probably eyeing the SA market as we speak).
So hurry: If all goes well and those that Eskom owes money to agree to the restructure, we could see all of this kicking into gear as early as August this year.
Let’s hope that this is not only the beginning of great new software enterprises in SA, but also an end to loadshedding. We are watching this space.
Got an energy focussed product idea? Hit reply and connect, we know some people…
🥂 Good news. Despite what you may think about the cost of living in SA, none of our cities are anywhere to be found on the list of most expensive cities for luxury living.
💰 Big Meta Money. Wanna earn a cool 5.5 million “rondt” this year? Join Meta where its median pay is now $296k per annum. And they’re not the only ones – most of the US’s top companies are dolling out increases like candy to attract top talent.
🇿🇦 Youth Jobs. Ever wondered how long young SA workers will stick it out at their companies? According to data revealed by PNET, youth aged between 14 and 35 are unlikely to stay much more than 3 years – a fascinating insight into the ever-changing jobs landscape.
🍿 On the Big Screen. Remember the GameStop Short squeeze orchestrated on r/wallstreetbets? Well, Hollywood jumped on the story and a movie is coming – with a pretty impressive, star-studded lineup.
🥊 Head-to-Head. Yes, Mark Zuckerberg and Elon Musk are indeed set to fight in a cage match. Meanwhile, former professional kickboxer Andrew Tate has offered to train Musk as revenge for Facebook booting him off their platform, UFC’s Dana White will put on and promote the fight, and we’d like to know where the flying Deloreans are and how exactly we slipped into this particular bizarro timeline/dimension.
Building a startup solo is as tough as it is risky. Your chances of success are just so much higher when building with teammates. That’s why over 90% of YC’s startup intake are teams, not solos. And the reason is typically as simple as: building a startup is too much work (and too complex) for one person.
But how do you find co-founders?
In the consulting work we do, we get this question a lot. You have an idea, but you lack some of the skills and know-how to get it going. And therein lies the problem.
Co-founders need to “own” ideas together. Before you can own shares, you need to conjure up and own the idea together. Why?
Maybe instead of pitching a potential partner your idea, get in a room and ideate.
So instead of trying to convince someone to join your company that’s building your idea, find great people to ideate with from the get-go.
Still looking for your ideal co-founder match? Hit reply and share, we know some people in the space…
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Plus: Fake gear levers, confusing AIs with cheese, validating like a venture builder & levelling up your dev’s soft skills.
Hi there,
Don’t know what to do with your free hand while driving your electric vehicle? No worries, Toyota is developing fake gear levers to spice up the driving experience of their EVs. Not because the car needs it, but because so many of us do.
Reimagining the human-computer interface
Apple recently launched the Apple Vision Pro, a new Mixed Reality headset they dubbed in pure Apple style “a spatial computing device”. And herein lies the clues of where Apple sees its latest hardware product fit in.
The initial reaction
If you didn’t pay too much attention to Apple’s words and videos at WWDC, you might be forgiven for slapping these new $3500 (R70 000) ski goggles into the traditional VR category (most people did). Which, at that price, is pure insanity.
Consider: Meta Quest 3 is set to launch later this year, expected to cost ±R10 000 – in the range of console machines, which is the category it's competing in.
But is Apple’s Vision Pro really going after the gaming market?
We’re not convinced.
Even Zuckerberg noted a clear difference in philosophy between Apple and Meta after he watched the presentation. He says Meta’s VR play is all about people doing things and being active while the people in Apple’s presentation video were mostly isolated – except for the weird part where a dad kicks a soccer ball while working on his Vision Pro at the kitchen counter.
But once again, that’s a clue that they might have a much bigger picture in mind.
How Apple does things
When it launched, the iPhone was a mobile phone, but it wasn’t like any other. Due to its full touch screen keyboard, one couldn’t really compare it to anything else at the time. They re-imagined what an interface could do for its users. Think video, games and work – and others followed. Now, in the same way, Vision Pro is not competing with any VR kit – it's re-imagining the entire human-computer interface.
Zuckerberg is right, the philosophy is likely a device that engages fully while sitting or standing still. But which other devices are we currently engaging with sitting and standing still? Laptops, phones, TVs, multiple screens when working, etc. Now if the Vision Pro is set to replace that, perhaps the price tag makes sense.
Let’s say you are a software developer, you likely have the following setup at home:
Add some of your entertainment devices:
Add all of those together and you quickly hit a $3500+ price tag. And that’s the point – the Vision Pro might not be for everyone, but where it finds its place is across different devices we use, it might just be the “spatial computing device” Apple is making it out to be. Work with unlimited screens, watch 4k cinema-sound movies, play VR games and perhaps even, kick a soccer ball while working.
What does this mean for VR?
In the 90s, the desktop computer’s dual purpose of both being useful for parents to work on and allowing kids to play games made it a perfect companion for the family. Perhaps that was the trick missed by VR companies up until now. The multipurpose appeal.
VR hardware we have seen up until now has not been able to be useful across different use cases. And this limitation at even a $500 price point just doesn’t appeal to many people.
If, however, the utility increases, so will the adoption and with more adoption, we are likely to see an increase in use cases — the perfect tech flywheel. Worked for the desktop, worked for the iPhone and now it might just work for the Vision Pro. Especially when the adoption happens at a higher income, executive level.
Back home VR and XR haven’t really taken off
Now apart from a few pilot projects in mixed reality at schools and training programs announced by foreign VR training players, we are yet to find a significant number of case studies of VR or XR having a meaningful impact locally – should VR and XR take off, though, there might be some who are positioned well.
Stellenbosch-based Sozo labs have been in the VR space since the Oculus came out and have done some projects for corporates such as Jeep and GSK as well as various training initiatives and games. Part of the Alphawave group, Sozo Labs is one to keep an eye on as the space evolves and we see more adoption.
Eden is a South African VR company that developed proprietary VR hardware and software. And their first software experience is called Kids Health – a VR experience focusing on entertaining and educating kids that spend a lot of time in hospitals.
Studies have found that play during recovery increases the emotional and physical health of children, speeding up their recovery. Kids Health takes them on an immersive journey to learn more about medical procedures and have some fun along the way.
Perhaps the Vision Pro could end up in a niche space like the iPad or Apple Watch, time will tell. But maybe, just maybe, this is the start of a new era of human-computer interfaces. What we know for sure is that either way, it's going to be good for the development of VR and XR.
Know anyone doing cool stuff in the VR/AR/XR space? Hit reply and share so we can make them famous…
💨 Gassing. An LPG gas shortage is expected due to internal industry tussle between major suppliers, vessels getting affected by stormy weather, not enough trucks, and because one of y’all broke a mirror last week (maybe). It’s also set to rise between R4 and R4.50 per kg.
🏪 Apping. OpenAI, the folks behind ChatGPT, is set to build an app store for AI software. With tons of AI projects being built on their AI tech, they’re planning to launch a marketplace for developers to sell their wares.
🛵 Subbing. Local innovation company Checkers Sixty60 is trialling a subscription service for a select group of beta testers offering unlimited deliveries, double the personalised offers, and discounts on purchases – all for between R99 & R149 per month.
🧀 Cheesing. This video game will save humanity from the impending AI-pocalypse by letting users verify images (the ol’ how many things do you see to prove you’re not a bot) with incorrect data – specifically cheese. “Confuse a Bot” pulls images from the web, users tell it the images it’s looking at are of cheese, the game re-releases incorrectly verified image, AI takes the bait – bing-bang-boom, humanity saved.
🚛 Moving. High-Net-Worth-Individuals (HNWI) - peeps with a net worth of $1 million+ – are leaving SA shores. And it’s official. Last year SA lost 400 of these HNWIs, with another 500 forecast to leave in 2023. Concerning for an already unsustainable tax base.
🍾 Winning. South Africa-made Pongrácz Brut 1 of only 11 sparkling wines awarded a Grand Gold at the recent Concours Mondial de Bruxelles, while the vintage Desiderius Pongrácz 2015 was awarded Gold.
Because better developers = better startups
Devs are known for a lot of things, but soft skills aren’t one of them (don’t @ us, this is public sentiment, not ours).
But in today's world, it’s almost impossible to build a business and not have software involved in one way or another. And when the devs are shining, it makes a lot of other things easier.
It requires more than technical skills
And that’s where South African software developer and entrepreneur Harley Ferguson comes in. Harley’s on a mission to help software developers be better by focusing on softer skills. He’s got a free ebook and weekly newsletter full of great content to become a better developer that you might wanna check out.
And, as we dove into his content, we found it useful for both developers and anyone that is working close to developers (i.e. most of you) and we thought, maybe we can all help each other get a bit better at this stuff. So here are some top learnings to help you or your developers 10x.
10 Practical soft-skill ways to help them be a better dev
Want to go deeper? Sign up for Harley’s newsletter here.
Got a dev soft skill story to share, or maybe even a tip to add? Hit reply and let us know so we can share…
Getting so many great business ideas from The Open Letter and Podcast you don’t know where to start? Well, this week’s episode of How Would You Built It comes to the rescue.
We invited Matt Quatra, a seasoned Venture Builder, to share insights into some of the frameworks he uses to validate business opportunities. Enjoy!
01:37 Pursuing opportunities
05:51 Hypothesis vs Assumption
06:50 Idea testing framework (Desirable, Feasible, Viable)
10:07 Quantitative Data vs Qualitative Data
19:35 Selling the idea
21:06 3 Key Elements to a Pitch Deck
Or if Spotify is your jam, catch it here.
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